Question

How much will it cost to deliver a 1kg payload to the Surface of Mars in 2075?

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Community Prediction613 (80.8 - 10.4k)

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Authors:

nagolinc

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Economy & Business

Technology

SpaceX reusable launch system

Human settlement of Mars isn’t as far off as you might think

Raw Story•Dec 18, 2024

Outgoing NASA leader Bill Nelson weighs in on Elon Musk and SpaceX, defends plans for moon rocket

CBS•Dec 19, 2024

K2 Space will fly its extra-large satellite for the first time in 2026

TechCrunch•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the lowest cost per kilogram, in US dollars, to deliver a payload to LEO or beyond before 2025?

716

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will a trip to Mars be available to the general public at a price less than the average American worker's annual salary?

2125-08-01

Comments

? comments

Authors:

nagolinc

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Economy & Business

Technology

SpaceX reusable launch system

Human settlement of Mars isn’t as far off as you might think

Raw Story•Dec 18, 2024

Outgoing NASA leader Bill Nelson weighs in on Elon Musk and SpaceX, defends plans for moon rocket

CBS•Dec 19, 2024

K2 Space will fly its extra-large satellite for the first time in 2026

TechCrunch•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will be the lowest cost per kilogram, in US dollars, to deliver a payload to LEO or beyond before 2025?

716

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will a trip to Mars be available to the general public at a price less than the average American worker's annual salary?

2125-08-01

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

How much will it cost to deliver a 1kg payload to the Surface of Mars in 2075?

Make a Prediction

What will be the lowest cost per kilogram, in US dollars, to deliver a payload to LEO or beyond before 2025?

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will a trip to Mars be available to the general public at a price less than the average American worker's annual salary?

Comments

What will be the lowest cost per kilogram, in US dollars, to deliver a payload to LEO or beyond before 2025?

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will a trip to Mars be available to the general public at a price less than the average American worker's annual salary?

What will be the lowest cost per kilogram, in US dollars, to deliver a payload to LEO or beyond before 2025?

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will a trip to Mars be available to the general public at a price less than the average American worker's annual salary?

What will be the lowest cost per kilogram, in US dollars, to deliver a payload to LEO or beyond before 2025?

What propulsion mechanism will launch a payload into space at a cost of < $100/kg first?

When will a trip to Mars be available to the general public at a price less than the average American worker's annual salary?