Question

In Virginia, which month between May 2021 and March 2022 (inclusive) will have the highest number of new COVID-19 hospitalizations?

Resolved :95.11

Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction5.11 (4.97 - 8.85)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	4.967	5.112	8.854
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	4.967	—
median	5.112	—
upper 75%	8.854	—

What was the final result?9

Community Baseline Score

36.7

Community Peer Score

125.6

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Apr 29, 2021

Closes:

Nov 13, 2021

Resolves:

Apr 6, 2022

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 1

Disease digest: The truth about the flu, measles, whooping cough and other viruses spiking in the US

New York Post•Feb 13, 2025

How Bad Are COVID, Flu and RSV This Winter?

Scientific American•Feb 16, 2025

Flu Map Shows Highest Levels Across US

Newsweek•Feb 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

45.6%

When will the maximum weekly rate of new hospital admissions per 100,000 people occur for the following respiratory illnesses in the 2024-2025 season?

What will be the weekly total number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations for the United States for the following weeks of the 2024-25 season?

12k

Comments

? comments