Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will variants of concerns thought to partially escape immunity make up more than 50% of samples sequenced in Virginia on 29 August - 11 September 2021?

Resolved :No66%
Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction66% (60% - 77%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 66%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-37.3
Community Peer Score
6.0
Learn more about scores here.
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