Question

If Washington DC and Puerto Rico are not admitted as new states, will Republicans hold the Senate from 2022 to 2030?

Resolved :No

28 comments28

Total Forecasters94

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

10.1

Community Peer Score

2.6

median 1.0%mean 3.0%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

Puerto Rico

Republican Party (US)

US Senate

Washington, D.C.

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

13%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?

35%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Elections

Politics

Puerto Rico

Republican Party (US)

US Senate

Washington, D.C.

Senate Races 2024: Here Are The Top Battlegrounds—As GOP Appears On Track To Take Control

Forbes•Oct 23, 2024

The House and Senate could make history this election

CNN•Oct 23, 2024

Racing toward Election Day, control of U.S. Senate and House up for grabs • Washington State Standard

•Oct 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

13%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?

35%