Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

What will be the 4-week average of initial jobless claims filed in May 2021?

Resolved :459449
1
9
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction449 (411 - 488)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<0
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2k
...
...
...
...
...
0.3%
411.4
449.4
487.6
0.2%

What was the final result?459

Community Baseline Score
109.3
Community Peer Score
9.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
AlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Economy & Business
2021 Leaderboard
United States
Federal Reserve
Jobless claims

Comments

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