Question

Will there be armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) before January 1, 2024?

Resolved :No

33 comments33

Total Forecasters265

Community Prediction0.3%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

80.5

Community Peer Score

9.9

median 0.3%mean 2.3%

Authors:

INtheway

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Geopolitics

China

USS Makin Island (LHD-8)

Taiwan

USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71)

Taiwan Strait

Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between China and Taiwan in 2024?

Will armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?

67.4%

Comments

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