Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will BitMEX default on an obligation to hand over their users’ assets on request by the end of 2022?

Resolved :Ambiguous9%
6
3
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction9% (5% - 13%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 9%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
yagudin
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Cryptocurrencies
Economy & Business
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Bitfinex
Cyber-security regulation
Denial-of-service attack
Information theory
BitMEX

Comments

? comments