Question

By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?

38 comments38

Total Forecasters56

Community Prediction51% (45% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 51%

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

Natural Sciences

Intellectual disability

In vitro fertilisation

Reproductive medicine

Pulmonology

Neurology

Gerontology

Scientists Can Now Recreate A Mouse Without Its DNA—Here’s How It Works

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

S. Africa’s new research guidelines not a green light for heritable human genome editing

Raw Story•Dec 13, 2024

Designer Babies Are Teenagers Now—and Some of Them Need Therapy Because of It

Wired•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

58%

When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?

2057-02-01

When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?

2029-06-23

Comments

? comments

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

Natural Sciences

Intellectual disability

In vitro fertilisation

Reproductive medicine

Pulmonology

Neurology

Gerontology

Scientists Can Now Recreate A Mouse Without Its DNA—Here’s How It Works

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

S. Africa’s new research guidelines not a green light for heritable human genome editing

Raw Story•Dec 13, 2024

Designer Babies Are Teenagers Now—and Some of Them Need Therapy Because of It

Wired•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

58%

When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?

2057-02-01

When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?

2029-06-23

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By the year 2100, will any jurisdiction enforce requirements for all births to be genetically engineered?

Make a Prediction

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?

When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?

Comments

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?

When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?

When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?

By 2050, will genetic engineering techniques be available which can raise IQ by 10 points?

When will a person who was not screened or genetically modified as an embryo file a lawsuit against their parents for not doing so?

When will 100 babies be born whose embryos were selected for genetic scores for intelligence?