Question

When will at least a zettabyte of digital information be destroyed as the result of a single event?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters26

Community Prediction2062-06-06

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2099-12-20

...

2042-02-18 21:54

2062-06-06 17:41

2089-04-09 23:20

15.7%

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Technology

Library of Alexandria

Zettabyte

Information technology

Data analysis

Information theory

What will the largest Common Crawl be, in TiB, by 2032?

1.09k

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

80%

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

25%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

uganda

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Computing and Math

Technology

Library of Alexandria

Zettabyte

Information technology

Data analysis

Information theory

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Generative AI Could Generate Millions More Tons of E-Waste by 2030

Scientific American•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What will the largest Common Crawl be, in TiB, by 2032?

1.09k

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 100 deaths and/or at least $1B 2021 USD in economic damage?

80%

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

25%