Question

Will there be a 50% decline in global meat production by 2040?

28 comments28

Total Forecasters114

Community Prediction

10%

(5% - 17%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Jun 14, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2042

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 14, 2021

Animal Welfare Series

Food and Agriculture Organization Corporate Statistical Database

America Is Done Pretending About Meat

Atlantic•Mar 24, 2025

U.S. Farmers Are Under Siege? Food Security Crises Going on in the U.S

Lew Rockwell•Mar 24, 2025

A Biologist Refutes Elon Musk’s ‘Adult Diaper’ Theory On Population Decline

Forbes•Mar 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will alternative protein have a market share above 25% of that of meat before 2035?

Will the three-year average of livestock production subsidies fall below $150M/year by 2030?

19%

Will AGI-caused economic growth lead to lab-grown meat pushing out factory farming?

30%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Charles

Opened:

Jun 14, 2021

Closes:

Dec 31, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2042

Spot Scoring Time:

Jun 14, 2021

Animal Welfare Series

Food and Agriculture Organization Corporate Statistical Database

America Is Done Pretending About Meat

Atlantic•Mar 24, 2025

U.S. Farmers Are Under Siege? Food Security Crises Going on in the U.S

Lew Rockwell•Mar 24, 2025

A Biologist Refutes Elon Musk’s ‘Adult Diaper’ Theory On Population Decline

Forbes•Mar 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will alternative protein have a market share above 25% of that of meat before 2035?

Will the three-year average of livestock production subsidies fall below $150M/year by 2030?

19%

Will AGI-caused economic growth lead to lab-grown meat pushing out factory farming?

30%