Question

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction59%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 59%

median 59.0%mean 59.6%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

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By 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?

30%

Will the US government deem that an AI model has been trained with at least 1e26 FLOP before 2026?

93%

Will the estimated training FLOPs of any exfiltrated AI exceed the indicated amount before the indicated year?

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

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By 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?

30%

Will the US government deem that an AI model has been trained with at least 1e26 FLOP before 2026?

93%