Question
If a small inducement prize platform is created for effective altruists, how many dollars of prize money will be disbursed within a year?
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction5.01k (349 - 214k)
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CDF
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<100 | 10.5% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 348.9 | — |
median | 5.011k | — |
upper 75% | 214.2k | — |
Upper bound | ||
>100M | 2.9% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jun 10, 2021
Closed:Jul 1, 2022
Scheduled resolution:Jun 1, 2025
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 10, 2021
Closed:Jul 1, 2022
Scheduled resolution:Jun 1, 2025
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch