Question

Will mainstream news media report that alien technology has visited our solar system before 2030?

36 comments36

Total Forecasters253

Community Prediction1% (0.5% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Authors:

BrianHoltz

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Advanced Aerospace Threat Identification Program

Neptune

Apparent UFO images leak from Pentagon's secret data retrieval program 'Immaculate Constellation'

Daily Mail•Dec 11, 2024

Pilots report UFO 'moving at extreme speeds' while flying over Oregon

Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

Mystery as multiple pilots report 'lots' of UFOs flying over Oregon

Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%

Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?

0.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BrianHoltz

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Advanced Aerospace Threat Identification Program

Neptune

Apparent UFO images leak from Pentagon's secret data retrieval program 'Immaculate Constellation'

Daily Mail•Dec 11, 2024

Pilots report UFO 'moving at extreme speeds' while flying over Oregon

Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

Mystery as multiple pilots report 'lots' of UFOs flying over Oregon

Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

0.1%

Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?

0.1%

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Will mainstream news media report that alien technology has visited our solar system before 2030?

Make a Prediction

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?

Comments

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?

Will there be scientifically accepted evidence of the presence of a non-human intelligence (NHI) on Earth by 2030?

Will evidence of alien technology be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2026?

Will material of interstellar origin be recovered near the IM1 crash site before 2025?