Question
What proportion of non-test nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be against battlefield targets?
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction0.169 (0.00742 - 0.956)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 0.007422 | — |
| median | 0.1692 | — |
| upper 75% | 0.9563 | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jun 25, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 25, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050