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M

Question

What proportion of non-test nuclear weapon detonations by 2050 will be against battlefield targets?

3
11
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction0.169 (0.00742 - 0.956)

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
0.007422
0.1692
0.9563
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Metaculus-PartnersAlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Military tactics
Tactical nuclear weapon
United States
Counterforce
Japan
Atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki
Nuclear weapons testing
Peaceful nuclear explosion
World War II

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