Question
How many nuclear weapons will states possess on December 31, 2023?
Resolved :12.5k12.7kTotal Forecasters119
Community Prediction12.7k (12.1k - 13.3k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
My Prediction
community<0
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50k
...
...
...
...
...
0.5%
12.09k
12.67k
13.32k
0.1%
What was the final result?12.5k
Community Baseline Score
149.6
Community Peer Score
15.0
Authors:
Opened:Jun 22, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 4, 2024
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 22, 2021
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 4, 2024
