Question

Will there be a deadly clash between the US and Russian armed forces before 2024?

Resolved :No

18 comments18

Total Forecasters201

Community Prediction0.2%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

89.4

Community Peer Score

6.4

median 0.2%mean 1.6%

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners AlyssaStevens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

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Will there be a US-Russia war before 2050?

10%

Will there be a military conflict resulting in at least 50 deaths between the United States and China in 2024?

0.1%

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

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