M

Question

Will there be at least one fatality from nuclear detonation in North Korea by 2050, if any detonation occurs?

7
11
Total Forecasters63
Community Prediction28%

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 28%
median 28.0%mean 31.0%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Metaculus-PartnersAlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty
Nuclear Threat Initiative
Geneva Protocol
Joe Biden
Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
Hwasong-15
North Korea and weapons of mass destruction
Kim Jong-un
Chemical Weapons Convention
North Korea

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