M

Question

Will there be at least 1 fatality due to accidental or unauthorised nuclear detonation by 2024?

Resolved :No0.1%
Total Forecasters132
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
97.1
Community Peer Score
1.7
Opened:Jun 25, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024

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