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Question

How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050?

26
45
Total Forecasters139
Community Prediction1.01

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50k
...
...
...
...
...
49.5%
1
1.01
3.22
0.5%
Authors:
Metaculus-PartnersAlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
China
United Kingdom
India
Pakistan
France
North Korea and weapons of mass destruction
United States
Israel
North Korea
Russia

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