Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

M

Question

How many nuclear weapons will be detonated offensively by 2050?

26
45
Total Forecasters140
Community Prediction...

Make a Prediction

weight:
My Prediction
community
<1
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>50k
...
...
...
...
...
50.5%
<1
<1
3.39
1.4%
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Metaculus-PartnersAlyssaStevens
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
China
United Kingdom
India
Pakistan
France
North Korea and weapons of mass destruction
United States
Israel
North Korea
Russia

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