Question

What will Poland's Economist Democracy Index be in 2030?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction7.11 (6.41 - 7.7)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

6.408

7.112

7.697

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Jul 30, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2032

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2032

It's time to return to Cold War-era defense spending, says Poland's president

CNBC•Jan 22, 2025

What another Lukashenko ‘victory’ will mean for Europe’s security – and that of Belarus’ citizenry

The Conversation•Jan 23, 2025

How Poland emerged as a leading defence power

Economist•Jan 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Poland’s GDP per capita (in USD) exceed that of the United Kingdom before 2031?

What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?

7.3

What will be Ukraine's score in The Democracy Index in 2024?

5.48

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Jul 30, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2032

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2032

It's time to return to Cold War-era defense spending, says Poland's president

CNBC•Jan 22, 2025

What another Lukashenko ‘victory’ will mean for Europe’s security – and that of Belarus’ citizenry

The Conversation•Jan 23, 2025

How Poland emerged as a leading defence power

Economist•Jan 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Poland’s GDP per capita (in USD) exceed that of the United Kingdom before 2031?

What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?

7.3

What will be Ukraine's score in The Democracy Index in 2024?

5.48