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Question

When will another SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Delta as the dominant variant in Virginia?

Resolved :Dec 25, 20212021-12-26
Total Forecasters48
Community Prediction2021-12-26 (2021-12-19 - 2022-01-04)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%19 Dec 2021
median26 Dec 2021
upper 75%04 Jan 2022
Upper bound
>2022-12-311.0%

What was the final result?Dec 25, 2021

Community Baseline Score
5.1
Community Peer Score
38.8
Opened:Aug 3, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2022
Resolves:Feb 3, 2022

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