Question

Will the US CDC announce that they are tracking a SARS-CoV-2 variant that they classify as a variant of high consequence (VOHC) before August 1, 2022?

Resolved :No

11 comments11

Total Forecasters38

Community Prediction24%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 24%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

35.1

Community Peer Score

13.8

median 24.0%mean 26.5%

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

Will the World Health Organization designate a new COVID-19 Variant of Concern before July 1, 2025?

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

1.4%

When will a SARS-CoV-2 variant overtake Omicron as the dominant variant globally?

2025-01-01

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