Question

When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine receive full BLA approval by the U.S. FDA?

Resolved :Aug 23, 20212021-08-24

9 comments9

Total Forecasters41

Community Prediction2021-08-24 (2021-08-21 - 2021-08-27)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2022-01-31

...

2021-08-21 21:59

2021-08-24 04:09

2021-08-27 10:56

0.2%

What was the final result?Aug 23, 2021

Community Baseline Score

34.9

Community Peer Score

44.4

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Emergency Use Authorization

Epidemiology

Food and Drug Administration

Moderna

Biologics license application

Biden Quietly Extends Covid 'Emergency Declaration' to Protect Big Pharma From Liability Until 2029

Townhall•Dec 19, 2024

Covid-19: Five Years Later

OpEdNews•Dec 24, 2024

Attorney for RFK Jr. blasts 'hysterical' media report as distortion of HHS pick's views on vaccines

FOX News•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.11

When will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be approved by the US?

2025-10-22

Comments

? comments