Question

When will a SARS-CoV-2 vaccine receive full BLA approval by the U.S. FDA?

Resolved :Aug 23, 2021

9 comments9

Total Forecasters41

Community Prediction2021-08-24

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2022-01-31

...

2021-08-21 21:59

2021-08-24 04:09

2021-08-27 10:56

0.2%

What was the final result?Aug 23, 2021

Community Baseline Score

34.9

Community Peer Score

44.4

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Emergency Use Authorization

Epidemiology

Food and Drug Administration

Moderna

Biologics license application

Medicine

Before June 2032, will the US FDA authorize a vaccine without phase III efficacy data in response to a new public health emergency?

How many total SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccine doses will the US FDA and CDC recommend for at least 15% of the US on December 31, 2024?

8.06

When will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be approved by the US?

2025-10-22

Comments

? comments