Question

What percentage of Virginia’s 18-24 age group will be fully vaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 by 1 October 2021?

Resolved :55.155.4

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction55.4 (53.9 - 57.2)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%
community	53.89	55.42	57.23
My Prediction	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	53.89	—
median	55.42	—
upper 75%	57.23	—

What was the final result?55.1

Community Baseline Score

66.6

Community Peer Score

14.4

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Aug 3, 2021

Closes:

Sep 17, 2021

Resolves:

Oct 1, 2021

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Virginia Confronts Its “Honesty Gap”

Forbes•Feb 17, 2025

As 2025’s Demographic Cliff Looms, How Far Will College Enrollment Fall?

Forbes•Feb 19, 2025

Nearly 1 in 10 U.S. adults identify as LGBTQ, Gallup survey finds

NBC•Feb 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of older US adults will receive vaccinations for the 2024-2025 seasons for flu, COVID, and RSV at the end of December 2024 and the end of March 2025?

What will be the COVID-19 booster coverage for the 2024-25 season among the following groups in the US?

48.1

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

45.6%

Comments

? comments