Question

How many new COVID-19 outbreaks will occur in Virginian long-term care facilities before 1 August 2022?

Resolved :Above upper bound567

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction567 (424 - 600)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>600
community	424.3	566.6	>600	42.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	424.3	—
median	566.6	—
upper 75%	>600	—
Upper bound
>600	42.3%	—

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score

14.9

Community Peer Score

53.5

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Aug 3, 2021

Closes:

Nov 1, 2021

Resolves:

Feb 9, 2022

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