Question

What will be the weekly peak percent of medical visits that are for influenza-like illness (ILI) in Virginia during the 2021-2022 flu season?

Resolved :7.5

5 comments5

Total Forecasters20

Community Prediction4.62

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>30

...

3.327

4.625

6.461

0.7%

What was the final result?7.5

Community Baseline Score

36.3

Community Peer Score

21.2

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Will any flu season before 2032 exceed 14% ED and UC visits being for ILI?

35.4%

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14.7

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

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