Question

Will Israel recognize Palestine by 2070?

37 comments37

Total Forecasters97

Community Prediction33.2% (20% - 41%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33.2%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Aug 13, 2021

Closes:

May 14, 2048

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 2, 2070

Geopolitics

United Nations

State of Palestine

Israeli–Palestinian conflict

Two-state solution

International recognition of the State of Palestine

Israel

Catastrophe in Palestine

CounterPunch•Jan 28, 2025

Calls to Recognize Jordan as De Facto Palestinian State Increase Following Trump’s Proposal for Gazan Relocation

Breitbart•Jan 31, 2025

Settler Colonialism: “It Ends With Us” in Palestine and Israel

CounterPunch•Jan 31, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Israel recognize Palestine?

2078-06-23

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

15%

Will Iran recognize Israel before 2070?

50%

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