Question

Will Israel recognize Palestine by 2070?

37 comments37

Total Forecasters97

Community Prediction

33.2%

(20% - 41%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33.2%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Aug 13, 2021

Closes:

May 14, 2048

Scheduled resolution:

Feb 2, 2070

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 15, 2021

Geopolitics

United Nations

State of Palestine

Israeli–Palestinian conflict

Two-state solution

International recognition of the State of Palestine

Israel

Israel approves controversial proposal to facilitate emigration of Palestinians from Gaza

CNN•Mar 24, 2025

Shifting Allegiances: The Role of Palestine in US Domestic and Foreign Policy

AntiWar•Mar 24, 2025

Israel’s security Cabinet approves independence for 13 West Bank settlements

NBC•Mar 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Israel recognize Palestine?

2078

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

10%

Will Iran recognize Israel before 2070?

52%

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