Question

Will a new State of Emergency in response to COVID be declared in Virginia before 1 October 2021?

Resolved :No

11 comments11

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction41%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 41%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

50.6

Community Peer Score

5.4

median 41.0%mean 41.2%

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Keep Virginia Safe Tournament

Keep Virginia Safe: Round 2

Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

Keep Virginia Safe II Update

Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

1.4%

Comments

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