Question

What will be the 7-day moving average of current confirmed+pending COVID-19 hospitalizations on 21 August?

Resolved :1.23k

2 comments2

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction1.51k

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2.5k

...

1.293k

1.51k

1.741k

1.3%

What was the final result?1.23k

Community Baseline Score

32.3

Community Peer Score

5.2

Authors:

Metaculus-Partners juancambeiro

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Resolves:

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Will the peak 7-day average of COVID-19 cases OR CLI in Virginia during a summer exceed the same peak during the preceding winter for any year before 1 November 2026?

50%

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Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20,000 daily incident COVID hospitalizations in the US before July 1, 2025?

1.4%

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