Question

Will Zablon Simintov, the last remaining Jew in Afghanistan, leave before Kabul is captured by the Taliban?

Resolved :No

20 comments20

Total Forecasters24

Community Prediction30%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

0.8

Community Peer Score

1.1

median 30.0%mean 36.8%

Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will Israel recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

1.9%

Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?

45%

How many US Jews will move to Israel by 2050?

119k

Comments

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