Question

When will "Tesla Bots" be available to US consumers?

Total Forecasters157

Community Prediction2029-03-30 (2027-06-08 - 2032-07-03)

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CDF

weight:

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>2039-12-31
community	Jun 2027	Mar 2029	Jul 2032	8.3%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	Jun 2027	—
median	Mar 2029	—
upper 75%	Jul 2032	—
Upper bound
>2039-12-31	8.3%	—

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Aug 22, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2040

Business of AI

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Meta is working on ‘humanoid’ robots, too

Verge•Feb 16, 2025

Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta to invest in AI-powered humanoid robots to compete with Tesla, others

New York Post•Feb 16, 2025

Elon Musk says the biggest ROI from AI will be humanoid robots

Business Insider•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?

25%

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

2034-01-27

Will China be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2025?

90%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Aug 22, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2040

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2040

Business of AI

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Meta is working on ‘humanoid’ robots, too

Verge•Feb 16, 2025

Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta to invest in AI-powered humanoid robots to compete with Tesla, others

New York Post•Feb 16, 2025

Elon Musk says the biggest ROI from AI will be humanoid robots

Business Insider•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?

25%

When will the US FDA grant Neuralink permission to sell and implant a brain-machine interface device into general consumers?

2034-01-27

Will China be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2025?

90%