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Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

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Total Forecasters76

Community Prediction46.9% (38% - 65%)

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50%

community: 46.9%

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Authors:

Tamay

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General Dynamics Mission Systems

Impact of nanotechnology

Atomically precise manufacturing

Molecular assembler

Lab-made ‘mirror bacteria’ could endanger all life on earth, scientists warn

Independent•Dec 13, 2024

‘Unprecedented risk’ to life on Earth: Scientists call for halt on ‘mirror life’ microbe research

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Scientists issue an urgent warning over lab-made 'mirror bacteria' that could wipe out mankind

Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

57%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

Comments

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Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

General Dynamics Mission Systems

Impact of nanotechnology

Atomically precise manufacturing

Molecular assembler

Lab-made ‘mirror bacteria’ could endanger all life on earth, scientists warn

Independent•Dec 13, 2024

‘Unprecedented risk’ to life on Earth: Scientists call for halt on ‘mirror life’ microbe research

Guardian•Dec 13, 2024

Scientists issue an urgent warning over lab-made 'mirror bacteria' that could wipe out mankind

Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

57%

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

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Ragnarök Question Series: if a nanotechnology catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Make a Prediction

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

Comments

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nanotechnology failure-mode?

Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?