Question

Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?

19 comments19

Total Forecasters47

Community Prediction45%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 45%

median 45.0%mean 41.8%

Authors:

wobblybobby

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Provinces of Afghanistan

United States

NATO

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

10%

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

68.5%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

wobblybobby

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Provinces of Afghanistan

United States

NATO

The Taliban will attend a U.N. climate conference for the first time

NBC•Nov 11, 2024

How the Taliban are seeking to reshape Afghanistan’s schools to push their ideology

The Conversation•Nov 11, 2024

Taliban Terrorists to Discuss Fighting Climate Change at U.N. Conference

Breitbart•Nov 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

10%

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

68.5%