Question

Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?

19 comments19

Total Forecasters47

Community Prediction45% (30% - 48%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 45%

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Authors:

wobblybobby

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Provinces of Afghanistan

United States

NATO

China Urges 'Stability' in Syria as Victorious Uyghur Rebels Threaten Xi

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

Russian lawmakers approve a bill that could remove the terrorist designation for the Taliban

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

Biden Administration and Greater West Contact Victorious Syria Jihadis

Breitbart•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

10%

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

0.5%

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

65%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

wobblybobby

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Provinces of Afghanistan

United States

NATO

China Urges 'Stability' in Syria as Victorious Uyghur Rebels Threaten Xi

Newsweek•Dec 13, 2024

Russian lawmakers approve a bill that could remove the terrorist designation for the Taliban

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

Biden Administration and Greater West Contact Victorious Syria Jihadis

Breitbart•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

10%

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

0.5%

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

65%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

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Will Taliban-controlled Afghanistan be used as a base for anti-NATO terrorism before 2027?

Make a Prediction

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Comments

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

Will NATO Article 5 action be taken before January 1, 2025?

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?