Question

Will Pakistan recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

5 comments5

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction80% (76% - 88%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 80%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Sep 4, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Geopolitics

Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan

Pakistan

Taliban

‘Please don’t do this’: Afghan families in Pakistan caught in crackdown

Al Jazeera•Feb 16, 2025

Opinion | It’s Time for the U.S. to Reach Out to the Taliban

New York Times•Feb 18, 2025

Afghanistan’s Taliban makes debut diplomatic trip to Japan

Al Jazeera•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

65%

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

10%

Will China recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

79%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Sep 4, 2021

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Geopolitics

Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan

Pakistan

Taliban

‘Please don’t do this’: Afghan families in Pakistan caught in crackdown

Al Jazeera•Feb 16, 2025

Opinion | It’s Time for the U.S. to Reach Out to the Taliban

New York Times•Feb 18, 2025

Afghanistan’s Taliban makes debut diplomatic trip to Japan

Al Jazeera•Feb 18, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

65%

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

10%

Will China recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

79%