Question

Will China recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters81

Community Prediction77.1% (72% - 86%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 77.1%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Sep 4, 2021

Closes:

Jul 29, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Geopolitics

Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan

China

Will Trump be able to retrieve billions of dollars worth of abandoned US military equipment from Taliban?

Independent•Jan 23, 2025

Chinese mine worker killed in attack claimed by Isis in Afghanistan

Independent•Jan 23, 2025

International Criminal Court seeks warrants for Taliban leaders for gender-based crimes

CNN•Jan 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

10%

Will Pakistan recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

80%

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

65%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Sep 4, 2021

Closes:

Jul 29, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Geopolitics

Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan

China

Will Trump be able to retrieve billions of dollars worth of abandoned US military equipment from Taliban?

Independent•Jan 23, 2025

Chinese mine worker killed in attack claimed by Isis in Afghanistan

Independent•Jan 23, 2025

International Criminal Court seeks warrants for Taliban leaders for gender-based crimes

CNN•Jan 23, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

10%

Will Pakistan recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

80%

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

65%