Question

Will the United States recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters39

Community Prediction10% (6% - 12%)

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50%

community: 10%

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Politics

Taliban

Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan

United States

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CNN•Dec 17, 2024

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Lew Rockwell•Dec 17, 2024

Russian lawmakers approve a bill that could remove the terrorist designation for the Taliban

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Geopolitics

Politics

Taliban

Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan

United States

Facing terror designations and sanctions, Syria’s new rulers push for international legitimacy

CNN•Dec 17, 2024

US In 'Direct Contact' With Designated Terror Group HTS, Blinken Admits

Lew Rockwell•Dec 17, 2024

Russian lawmakers approve a bill that could remove the terrorist designation for the Taliban

Associated Press•Dec 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

77.1%

Will Turkey recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

65%

Will Iran recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan before 2030?

72.8%