🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

By 2023, what fraction of total content published on the Effective Altruism Wiki will have been written by volunteer contributors?

Resolved :0.1690.183
3
1
Total Forecasters13
Community Prediction0.183 (0.139 - 0.233)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
...
...
...
0.1389
0.183
0.2333

What was the final result?0.169

Community Baseline Score
80.9
Community Peer Score
1.7
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Pablo
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
2021-2025 Leaderboard

Comments

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