Question

Will most of the first 100 IQ-selected "designer babies" be born in China?

29 comments29

Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction32% (15% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 32%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Jan 16, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2300

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2300

Reproductive medicine

Bioethics

Confucius, DeepSeek, and Why China would win a war with the United States

Strategic Culture•Feb 16, 2025

China launches center to train 100-plus humanoid robots simultaneously

FOX News•Feb 16, 2025

The Coming Democratic Baby Bust

Atlantic•Feb 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

56.7%

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Jan 16, 2022

Closes:

Jan 1, 2300

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2300

Reproductive medicine

Bioethics

Confucius, DeepSeek, and Why China would win a war with the United States

Strategic Culture•Feb 16, 2025

China launches center to train 100-plus humanoid robots simultaneously

FOX News•Feb 16, 2025

The Coming Democratic Baby Bust

Atlantic•Feb 17, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

56.7%