Question

Will most of the first 100 IQ-selected "designer babies" be born in China?

29 comments29

Total Forecasters69

Community Prediction32% (15% - 40%)

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50%

community: 32%

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Reproductive medicine

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Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Reproductive medicine

AI 'godfather' Geoffrey Hinton says AI will one day unite nations against a common existential threat

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

California man sentenced for 'birth tourism' scheme for affluent Chinese women

FOX News•Dec 17, 2024

US city offering to PAY pregnant women thousands 'with no strings attached' amid falling fertility rates

Daily Mail•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

15%

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

55.2%

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Will most of the first 100 IQ-selected "designer babies" be born in China?

Make a Prediction

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Comments

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will China be one of the first ten countries to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?

Will the USA be the first country to embryo select >10% of its newborns for intelligence?