Question

What will the space traveler fatality rate due to spacecraft anomalies be in the 2020's?

10 comments10

Total Forecasters26

Community Prediction0.001

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My Prediction

community

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lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

52.8%

<0.001

0.1642

Authors:

GoldbergMachinations

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

SpaceX reusable launch system

List of space travelers by name

US Department of Defense

International Space Station

When will there be a human fatality during travel to or from a heavenly body?

2037-07-15

Will space debris cause at least one fatality in space before 2035?

What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?

59.3

Comments

? comments

Authors:

GoldbergMachinations

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

SpaceX reusable launch system

List of space travelers by name

US Department of Defense

International Space Station

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When will there be a human fatality during travel to or from a heavenly body?

2037-07-15

Will space debris cause at least one fatality in space before 2035?

What percent of spacecraft will satisfy post mission disposal regulations in the decade of 2020-2029?

59.3