Question

Will Puerto Rico become a US state prior to 2035?

61 comments61

Total Forecasters368

Community Prediction

25%

(18.6% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Apr 17, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 17, 2018

Politics

Puerto Rico

Hurricane Maria

Constitution of the US

US Congress

United States

Spanish–American War

Who gets to brand Puerto Rico: Its tourism agency or its biggest star?

The Conversation•Mar 24, 2025

10 rumors about Trump's stated wishes to expand the US

Snopes•Mar 23, 2025

ICE raids shatter perception of Puerto Rico as a sanctuary for immigrants

NBC•Mar 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

17%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%

Will at least one US state secede from the Union before 31 December, 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Apr 17, 2018

Closes:

Jan 1, 2035

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 17, 2018

Politics

Puerto Rico

Hurricane Maria

Constitution of the US

US Congress

United States

Spanish–American War

Who gets to brand Puerto Rico: Its tourism agency or its biggest star?

The Conversation•Mar 24, 2025

10 rumors about Trump's stated wishes to expand the US

Snopes•Mar 23, 2025

ICE raids shatter perception of Puerto Rico as a sanctuary for immigrants

NBC•Mar 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Republicans?

17%

If Puerto Rico becomes a US state by 2035, will their first 2 elected Senators both be Democrats?

60%