Question

Will there be a European Army before 2032?

6 comments6

Total Forecasters48

Community Prediction38% (30% - 46%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 38%

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Verity

Geopolitics

Common Security and Defence Policy

Member state of the European Union

Wake up and spend more on defense, Macron tells Europe as Trump takes office

Associated Press•Jan 20, 2025

France's President Macron says Europe must "wake up" to defend itself as Trump returns

CBS•Jan 22, 2025

EU's top diplomat backs Trump call to boost defense spending

Raw Story•Jan 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

European Army before 2032? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Will there be a war between 2 or more EU states before 2153?

48%

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in or above a European Union state before the following dates?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

SimonM

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Verity

Geopolitics

Common Security and Defence Policy

Member state of the European Union

Wake up and spend more on defense, Macron tells Europe as Trump takes office

Associated Press•Jan 20, 2025

France's President Macron says Europe must "wake up" to defend itself as Trump returns

CBS•Jan 22, 2025

EU's top diplomat backs Trump call to boost defense spending

Raw Story•Jan 22, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

European Army before 2032? → Date EU Ceases to Exist?

Will there be a war between 2 or more EU states before 2153?

48%