Question
When will a language model be developed that, when tested, yields approximately human-level output?
Total Forecasters36
Community Prediction2024-06-05 (2023-05-05 - 2027-02-10)
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My Prediction
community<2021-10-15
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2099-12-26
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0.1%
2023-05-05 22:54
2024-06-05 08:24
2027-02-10 18:02
0.6%
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