Question

Will the U.S. default on its debt before 1 November 2021?

Resolved :No1%

58 comments58

Total Forecasters175

Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

96.2

Community Beer Score

2.7

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Moody's Investors Service

US Department of the Treasury

United States

World governments need to curb spending or risk being 'too late' when markets panic, BIS warns

Business Insider•Dec 11, 2024

'Unsustainable Fiscal Trajectory': As the National Debt Continues to Soar, Do Our Leaders Really Care?

Red State•Dec 13, 2024

'Disastrous effect': Lack of farm aid could derail Johnson spending bill

AlterNet•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025?

0.5%

Debt Limit Increased or Suspended in 2023? → Date of Next US Financial Crisis

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

24.1%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Moody's Investors Service

US Department of the Treasury

United States

World governments need to curb spending or risk being 'too late' when markets panic, BIS warns

Business Insider•Dec 11, 2024

'Unsustainable Fiscal Trajectory': As the National Debt Continues to Soar, Do Our Leaders Really Care?

Red State•Dec 13, 2024

'Disastrous effect': Lack of farm aid could derail Johnson spending bill

AlterNet•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025?

0.5%

Debt Limit Increased or Suspended in 2023? → Date of Next US Financial Crisis

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

24.1%

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Will the U.S. default on its debt before 1 November 2021?

Make a Prediction

Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025?

Debt Limit Increased or Suspended in 2023? → Date of Next US Financial Crisis

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

Comments

Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025?

Debt Limit Increased or Suspended in 2023? → Date of Next US Financial Crisis

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025?

Debt Limit Increased or Suspended in 2023? → Date of Next US Financial Crisis

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?

Will the IMF approve debt service relief for the US before 2025?

Debt Limit Increased or Suspended in 2023? → Date of Next US Financial Crisis

Will the US Enter a Deflationary period before 2030?