Question

When will the WHO announce that the COVID-19 pandemic has ended?

26 comments26

Total Forecasters94

Community Prediction2026-11-25 (2025-02-09 - 2032-04-11)

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weight:

My Prediction

community

<2022-01-01

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2040-01-01

...

0.1%

2025-02-09 22:52

2026-11-25 20:17

2032-04-11 01:11

15.7%

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Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Mpox became a global health emergency for the second time in 2024

New Scientist•Dec 14, 2024

Biden Quietly Extends Covid 'Emergency Declaration' to Protect Big Pharma From Liability Until 2029

Townhall•Dec 19, 2024

The bird flu outbreak keeps getting more worrying

Business Insider•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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163k

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55%

When will the WHO certify the worldwide eradication of Polio?

2032-07-05

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