Question

How many US Jews will move to Israel by 2050?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters7

Community Prediction119k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<50k

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>150k

...

5.1%

96.71k

119.2k

141.1k

18.4%

Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

What percentage of the Israeli population will be Haredi in 2050?

20.8

What percentage of US residents will be aged 100 years or older on January 1 2050?

0.284

How high will the Haredi share of Israel's population be at its peak?

27.3

Comments

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Authors:

stanulamstan

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Smotrich Says Trump Victory Gives Israel ‘Opportunity’ To Annex West Bank

AntiWar•Nov 12, 2024

Israel’s West Bank settlers hope Trump’s return will pave the way for major settlement expansion

Associated Press•Nov 13, 2024

Settlers in Israel’s West Bank hope Trump’s return will pave the way for major settlement expansion

PBS NewsHour•Nov 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of the Israeli population will be Haredi in 2050?

20.8

What percentage of US residents will be aged 100 years or older on January 1 2050?

0.284

How high will the Haredi share of Israel's population be at its peak?

27.3