M

Question

Will there be an offensive nuclear detonation on a nation's capital by 2024, if an offensive nuclear detonation occurs anywhere by 2024?

Resolved :Annulled16%
2
1
Total Forecasters86
Community Prediction16% (10% - 25%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 16%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

Authors:
MetaculusOutlooksTomL
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
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