Question
How many staff will the Arms Control Association, Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, and Ploughshares Fund have at the end of 2023?
Resolved :6664Total Forecasters55
Community Prediction64 (60.1 - 66.8)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 60.15 | — |
| median | 63.95 | — |
| upper 75% | 66.77 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >100 | 0.3% | — |
What was the final result?66
Community Baseline Score
73.1
Community Peer Score
8.1
Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Dec 30, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
