Question

Will the next offensive nuclear detonation(s) be retaliated against, if such a detonation occurs by 2024?

Resolved :Annulled17%

15 comments15

Total Forecasters124

Community Prediction17% (1% - 27%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 17%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

Authors:

MetaculusOutlooks TomL

Opened:

Oct 7, 2021

Closes:

Dec 30, 2023

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

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