M

Question

Will >2 countries offensively detonate nuclear weapons by 2024, if any offensive detonation of a country's nuclear weapon occurs by then?

Resolved :Annulled20%
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction20% (15% - 37%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 20%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

Authors:
Opened:Oct 7, 2021
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024

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